On Wednesday, when FBI brokers raided the workplace of one of the crucial highly effective Democrats in Virginia, Fox Information simply occurred to have one among its Washington-based international correspondents on the scene within the small metropolis of Portsmouth. What a unprecedented coincidence!
The raid focused state Sen. Louise Lucas, the 82-year-old president professional tempore of the Virginia Senate, who’s nationally outstanding for 2 causes. Lucas was the driving pressure behind the 10-1 Democratic congressional map that Virginia not too long ago enacted to retaliate in opposition to equally biased Republican maps drawn by crimson states. She’s additionally a pugnacious tweeter who gleefully mocks her political opponents on-line. After her congressional maps turned legislation, Lucas posted an AI picture of 4 incumbent Republican members of Congress working at McDonald’s.
There are two potential explanations for why this raid occurred. As MS NOW’s Carol Leonnig stories, the Justice Division has apparently been investigating “proof that [Lucas] solicited or accepted bribes” for 3 years. Three years in the past Democratic President Joe Biden was in workplace, which means that the probe into Lucas is respectable.
On the identical time, Leonnig additionally stories that Lindsey Halligan, a former insurance coverage lawyer who Trump illegally tried to put in as the highest federal prosecutor in jap Virginia, pressured prosecutors to convey prices in opposition to Lucas previous to the midterm elections, believing that “it could be good for the White Home to have the ability, earlier than the midterms, to accuse a outstanding state Democrat in Virginia with bribery.”
Halligan was additionally a central determine within the failed prosecutions of former FBI Director James Comey and New York Legal professional Normal Letitia James; final September, Trump appeared to order former Legal professional Normal Pam Bondi to focus on Comey and James, each of whom Trump resents for investigating him prior to now. Trump’s Justice Division has since indicted Comey a second time, claiming {that a} social media submit the place Comey organized seashells to spell “86 47” was an express menace to kill Trump.
Which brings us again to the truth that Donald Trump’s de facto state media outlet simply occurred to have a reporting workforce on the scene when the FBI raided Lucas’s workplace. It’s exhausting to think about how Fox Information may have identified that it wanted to have a reporter in Portsmouth except the Justice Division tipped them off.
The Justice Division didn’t behave this manner prior to now. As then-Legal professional Normal Merrick Garland mentioned in a 2022 press convention following an FBI raid at Trump’s Florida house, “we communicate by our [court] filings and the circumstances we convey; that’s the solely method we communicate.” Authorized ethics guidelines governing prosecutors strictly restrict their potential to make “extrajudicial feedback which have a considerable probability of heightening public condemnation of the accused.”
By politicizing the Lucas investigation, in different phrases, the Justice Division tainted its jury pool.
This rule is grounded within the Structure. When the federal government levies accusations in opposition to a person that received’t be examined in a public trial, it denies that particular person due course of. However there’s additionally a sensible motive why prosecutors ought to keep away from creating an pointless media spectacle round a prison investigation.
When prosecutors run a media marketing campaign in opposition to a prison defendant, that shifts the dialog about whether or not that defendant is responsible or harmless from a courtroom, the place there are procedural guidelines and clear jury directions, to a public discussion board the place potential jurors might draw unpredictable conclusions. That’s doubly true when the defendant is somebody like Lucas, who’s greater than able to pushing her personal opposing narrative to the press. And it’s triply true when the defendant is a outstanding political opponent of the prosecutor’s boss.
By politicizing the Lucas investigation, in different phrases, the Justice Division tainted its jury pool. If Lucas is ultimately arrested and dropped at trial, prosecutors are going to have a tricky time discovering jurors who haven’t been uncovered to media stories suggesting that the prosecution is a sham introduced for an improper political goal.
3 ways to consider the Lucas raid
Broadly talking, there are three explanation why the Justice Division might have focused Louise Lucas. The primary is that she may very well be responsible of a severe crime. If that’s true, the questionable timing of this raid — shortly after Lucas efficiently redrew Virginia’s congressional maps — the inclusion of Fox Information, and the involvement of identified dangerous actors comparable to Halligan are all simply avoidable errors by DOJ.
Not lengthy after the raid occurred, Lucas put out a press release accusing Trump’s DOJ of concentrating on her to “intimidate and silence the voices who stand as much as” the Trump administration. She is going to little question spend the approaching months pushing this narrative to everybody who may doubtlessly serve on her jury. And the DOJ’s politicization of its investigation into her makes this narrative plausible.
A second risk is that Lucas is harmless. Maybe the Biden-era investigation into her uncovered no actionable proof of prison wrongdoing, and this raid occurred solely as a result of Trump’s DOJ thought that going after a outstanding Democrat would assist Republicans within the 2026 midterms.
If that’s the case, the DOJ’s hamhandedness is prone to undermine that aim as properly. The Lucas raid didn’t happen in isolation. It exists in opposition to the backdrop of the prosecutions of Comey, James, and different political opponents of Trump. Fox Information’s presence on the raid solely provides to the impression that Lucas’s solely actual crime is being a Democrat.
Persuadable voters — or, not less than, persuadable voters who observe the information intently sufficient to bear in mind {that a} Democratic state senator’s workplace was raided by the FBI — will largely concentrate on this broader context. So they’re unlikely to be satisfied by the Lucas raid that Democrats are corrupt.
There’s additionally a 3rd risk, which is that Lucas truly dedicated against the law, but it surely’s not the type of crime that the Justice Division would ordinarily prosecute.
Regulation enforcement companies unavoidably train discretion when deciding whom to focus on. For this reason, for instance, you’ve in all probability by no means been pulled over for driving 57 mph in a 55 mph zone. Felony authorized codes are usually very expansive, they usually usually seize exercise that’s neither significantly morally reprehensible nor significantly dangerous to society. Regulation enforcement additionally has restricted assets, and it must be selective about which potential crimes it truly investigates and who it arrests, even when it does uncover proof that somebody broke the legislation.
The Supreme Court docket acknowledged that legislation enforcement will need to have this authority to train “prosecutorial discretion” as not too long ago as 2023.
As a result of prison codes usually seize comparatively innocuous conduct, prosecutors can doubtlessly harass principally law-abiding residents by intently monitoring their conduct till they journey up and commit against the law. Traditionally, the Justice Division has had strong safeguards to particularly forestall harassment of elected officers. Till not too long ago, for instance, the DOJ required prosecutors to seek the advice of with the division’s Public Integrity Part earlier than submitting prices in opposition to a member of Congress — though Trump’s Justice Division suspended this coverage shortly earlier than it introduced what seem like politically motivated prices in opposition to US Rep. LaMonica McIver (D-NJ).
All of which is a great distance of claiming that it could prove that Lucas did commit against the law, but it surely was the type of offense that the DOJ would have ignored if not for the truth that this Justice Division is keen to focus on elected Democrats.
Was the Lucas raid a part of appearing Legal professional Normal Todd Blanche’s audition to maintain his job?
One different issue looming over the Lucas raid is that appearing Legal professional Normal Todd Blanche, who was previously one among Trump’s private attorneys, has not but locked down his job. Blanche is the Senate-confirmed deputy lawyer basic, which signifies that he runs the DOJ except and till the Senate confirms a everlasting chief to exchange Bondi, who Trump eliminated final month.
Bondi was reportedly fired as a result of Trump felt that she was ineffective in concentrating on his political foes.
Blanche, in different phrases, has good motive to worry that he’ll wind up unemployed except he succeeds the place Bondi failed. So Lucas might have been focused in order that Blanche can show to Trump that he deserves to stay lawyer basic. That additionally would possibly clarify why Fox Information was current for the raid — Trump is an avid Fox Information watcher.
Blanche additionally has a historical past of ordering questionable arrests in opposition to outstanding Democrats. In Might 2025, Newark Mayor Ras Baraka, a Democrat, visited an ICE detention facility in his metropolis and requested to tour it. He arrived shortly after three congressional Democrats who’ve a authorized proper to tour ICE amenities, additionally sought such a tour.
After Baraka was turned away, a federal legislation enforcement officer was caught on video saying that “we’re arresting the mayor proper now, per the deputy lawyer basic of the US” — that’s, Todd Blanche. The outcome was a chaotic scene the place about 20 Homeland Safety brokers descended upon a crowd of protesters and the three members of Congress to put Baraka beneath arrest.
After the costs in opposition to Baraka fell aside — a federal Justice of the Peace choose admonished prosecutors for “utilizing the immense energy of the federal government to pursue weak circumstances or to make examples with out ample trigger” — DOJ introduced prices in opposition to McIver, who briefly pushed a legislation enforcement officer who was attempting to succeed in Baraka away from her and mentioned “get your fingers off of me.”
At this level, there’s not sufficient public details about the Lucas investigation to know if the potential prices in opposition to her are as a lot of a non-starter because the Baraka arrest, or whether or not she truly dedicated against the law that’s worthy of prosecution. However given this Justice Division’s previous conduct, and Blanche’s conduct particularly, there are good causes to doubt whether or not Lucas’s workplace would have been raided if anybody aside from Donald Trump had been president.
