It’s T-minus 13 days till the primary day of my lessons. I’m busy getting my lecture slides finalized and my downside units and exams accomplished in order that I can spend lately writing out drafts of my lectures. That’s at all times been my method taken to new lessons — simply write and rewrite the lecture. And since I’ve by no means taught both of those, that’s what I’m doing, although I’m nervous and so needed to spend a bit of time at the moment, finish of day, simply eliminating a few of these hyperlinks I’ve crowding my browser. In order that’s what I’ll do, mid-week.
Right here’s an older solo authored Econometrica by Alexander Torgovitsky measuring state dependence in unemployment for working highschool educated males within the 2006 SIPP.
I’ve been writing concerning the coming shift in quantitative social scientific analysis because the AI brokers arrive in 2026. Monetary Instances has a bit on it from the opposite day too.
Is Craigslist the final actual place on the web? The extra analysis I do on Craigslist, the extra I come to see it as a really fascinating platform.
A number of “Current Developments” talks on the ASSA I’d’ve liked to have attended are fortunately obtainable on-line as webcasts. They’re:
-
Current Developments in Language Fashions for Economics by Elliot Ash (Zurich)
-
Current Developments in AI and the Labor Market by Danielle Li (MIT)
Nicolas Cage as soon as owned Motion Comics #1, typically lauded as essentially the most helpful comedian e book (and infrequently lands the most important gross sales at public sale) as a result of it’s the first look of Superman. It was apparently stolen, then later returned to him. It simply offered for $15 million.
To not brag, however I personal the entire run of New Mutants, which I painstakingly looked for as a child by early highschool earlier than the web. And that features the first look of Deadpool. Assuming it’s in nice situation, is likely to be value $1500-$1700. That little gem is in considered one of a number of lengthy big bins in my son’s closet, although, so I put the percentages of that at round zero.
If Amazon needs you to observe NFL video games in a different way, I’d in all probability guess fairly laborious that that’s precisely what’s going to occur.
Do you battle to sleep at night time and desire a actually nice eye shade? I extremely suggest these. I by some means continuously lose mine. However they’re nice. No eye stress in any respect.
The absolute worst rating of Matt Damon’s motion pictures you may ever provide you with. Gifted Mr Ripley, Interstellar (which he’s barely in) and Jason Bourne components 2 and three all are ranked greater than the Bourne Identification itself which is clearly one of the best film he’s ever made. It’s top-of-the-line espionage-action movies ever made if not one of the best. I’m fairly positive it triggered all the James Bond franchise to reorient its personal type. So if you wish to giggle, simply learn this dumb rating. I swear I feel they rent folks to provide you with controversial rankings simply to get them to share the hyperlinks and say how unhealthy the rating it’s.
Ryan Gosling goes to be within the subsequent Star Wars. You had me at Ryan Gosling. I do know that is outdated information, however I simply needed to say it due to my profound man crush on him.
“The Human-AI Contracting Paradox” by Hamsa Bastani and Gerard Cachon seems to be fascinating, partly as a result of it’s that behavioral idea on the micro-level of how AI impacts the habits of customers utilizing it that I’ve been form of obsessive about for 2 years now. Right here’s the gist: As AI instruments turn into extra dependable however nonetheless often err, motivating people to stay vigilant and catch uncommon errors goes to paradoxically turning into increasingly costly — finally prohibitively costly. That is what they name the “human-AI contracting paradox”. It’s when the wage required for oversight rises as AI errors turn into much less frequent. This could perversely push organizations to restrict AI adoption, abandon human-AI collaboration, and even favor much less dependable AI instruments—not due to technological limits, however as a result of present financial contracts can’t effectively incentivize human oversight. Fairly fascinating idea. I’m going to depart that one open.
This particular person offers recommendations on methods to change your character in six weeks. Initially, why would you wish to try this. Second of all, no they didn’t. Third of all, I didn’t learn it.
You will have seen that lawyer representing Nick Reiner, who’s accused of murdering his mother and father, stepped down. Rob and Michelle Singer Reiner had been murdered with a knife December 14th 2025, virtually a month in the past to do the day.
A number of buzz across the new Netflix sequence “His and Hers”. My ex-wife texted me that it is sort of a cleaning soap opera. I mentioned a superb cleaning soap opera or a nasty cleaning soap opera? She mentioned a nasty one.
However I did end Pluribus final week. It’s really the primary time in a really very long time I fully binge watched a tv present, virtually begin to end. I satisfied my ex and son to observe it. She’s actually not into science fiction — which she abbreviates “Sifi” — however I informed her to present it two episodes. She did they usually’re hooked. He loves Vince Gilligan basically so it was good. In case you haven’t seen it, I extremely suggest it. The lead actress gained a Golden Globe for Greatest Actress for it the truth is.
Avatar is killing it on the theater.
A brand new memoir about divorce is getting glorious critiques.
Right here’s a memoir that I’d learn — a memoir by somebody who tells the story of a venture they did utilizing Claude Code that made them a believer in Claude Code. Anticipate to learn like a billion of these within the subsequent few months.
I don’t go on twitter, but it surely sounds prefer it’s reaching to new lows due to what you need to use Grok to do. That’s all I’ll say.
One other piece about how wonderful Claude Code is. You sort of get a rundown of it versus Codex, however take into accout — hardly ever are these written with quantitative social scientists wherever near being the meant viewers. Hoping we get extra of these items, although, and shortly.
However here’s a piece concerning the workflow of the Claude Code creator. It’s already every week or so outdated, so it’s fairly outdated at this level or feels prefer it however I haven’t posted it so I’m now. Individuals had been shedding their minds after they learn his twitter thread explaining his personal approach of utilizing it.
Some details about Claude 2.1.0. Right here’s extra concerning the replace.
Huge insurance coverage firm indicators a cope with Anthropic for Claude Code. I can solely think about what Boris Cherny’s contribution to 2026 Anthropic earnings will likely be. His compensation for this invention goes to be by the roof.
Right here’s a September put up from Anthropic about Claude Code. I actually assume the important thing piece to Claude Code would be the integration with the app to be sincere. As I wrote yesterday, the marginal consumer doesn’t run shell instructions. They work with the chatbot although, so why not put Claude Code in the identical app because the chatbot and given it the identical performance? I keep in mind studying that it was the invention of ChatGPT, not GPT-4, that basically blew the doorways off OpenAI. Product is actually vital.
The first 1000 days of a youngsters’ life and what occurs thereafter (NBER working paper).
Criticism of the aesthetics of the Mac working system. Uncommon to listen to somebody criticize Apple aesthetics.
Nervousness issues data on the Mayo Clinic.
Recall Princeton PhD scholar Elizabeth Tsurkov who was kidnapped in Iraq whereas doing subject work. She was finally launched and has written an article within the Atlantic concerning the harrowing ordeal. She was tortured mercilessly and confessed to absolutely anything, most of which if not all had been conspiracy theories believed by her attackers. She discovered that one of the best plan of action was tales that supported their very own affirmation bias. You may learn it your self to be taught extra about that. I’ve by no means learn something like this earlier than — not concerning the psychology of torture by a survivor who was this clever and articulate and strategic about surviving I imply. This may possible turn into a traditional.
Nikki Glaser, host of the Golden Globes, says Steve Martin’s joke that he despatched her (she solicited jokes from comedians) went “too far” and so after all that’s the one joke I care about on the earth to listen to.
Forbes stories on a brand new research on bodily contact in romantic relationships. Seems it is crucial, but it surely’s additionally extra nuanced than beforehand thought. However right here’s the quote I discovered: “The clearest discovering was that greater common consolation with bodily affection was strongly related with higher relationship well-being. Which means {couples} who, total of their partnership, felt comfy giving and receiving contact tended to report larger satisfaction, intimacy and belief.”
Anthropic has launched “Cowork” for Claude Code. It’s important to have the Max plan. I’ve it however haven’t used it but. However right here’s what I perceive it to do. It helps you to full “non-technical” duties by giving Claude entry to a folder in your laptop. Claude can then learn, edit or create recordsdata in that folder. You then set a job, it really works on it steadily till it completes it, telling you about its progress alongside the way in which. It’s going to ask earlier than doing something vital to be able to appropriate it earlier than happening a useless finish. I truthfully don’t know what this might enable me to do this I’m not already doing.
Nature says lecturers ought to be doing extra consulting.
Regardless of having massive friendship networks, are younger folks lonelier?
Sam Bowman offers his high ten favourite posts of his from 2025.
That is older, however Baylor (my faculty) introduced onto its squad a participant who had been drafted into the NBA (however who by no means performed within the NBA). This text touched on a number of the background to it. Scott Drew is the trendy day Ted Lasso and he explains that till the NCAA comes up with guidelines, count on coaches to play inside them.
24 new relationship apps have entered the market. Simply what the relationship market wants — extra on-line segmentation.
Eric Schmidt got here and spoke on the Kennedy College about AI and the way it has triggered him to mirror on his complete profession.
Appears just like the Pats are taking part in Houston, not the Steelers, subsequent week. I noticed the Steelers-Pats recreation earlier within the season at Foxborough with my son. It was superior, although the Pats misplaced, as a result of we noticed a fairly cool fist battle.
Do you know there’s a diamond recreation and that Taylor Swift is upending it? Let me say that in a different way. Now that you recognize there’s a diamond recreation, how shocked are you to be taught on a scale of 1 to 10 that her engagement ring upended? When Taylor Swift sneezes, the earth shifts just a bit off its axis so I’m not shocked.
Dry January and what occurs to your physique for those who do it. I’m doing it too however primarily as a result of I’m hanging out with somebody who’s doing it.
Yann LaCun, Meta’s former Chief AI, has left Meta to start out a brand new AI startup which he had informed Elon he’d by no means do. However as they are saying, labor provide curves slope upward.
Eight issues that really feel like betrayal that technically will not be.
Google engineer mentioned he acquired Claude Code to do in a single hour what took him beforehand a yr. Yeah, we’re in a complete different scenario proper now.
On enhancing our nursing properties.
JLo says whoever needs her love subsequent has to earn it.
Eddie Murphy has been opening up about some stuff that damage him prior to now, and explains why he left the 2007 Oscars when he didn’t win.
Age-old GOAT debate with Jordan, however this time in reverse. How would he have fared towards Magic Johnson and Larry Chook at their prime? That will be enjoyable to observe. Anyway the solutions will likely be to each model of that query that Jordan would’ve dominated. Nevertheless it’s nonetheless enjoyable to see as a result of it helps sports activities writers receives a commission by writing fan fiction.
The key to being completely happy in 2026 is to stop doing self assist stuff and to cease stressing out! I’m cured now. Thanks.
Megan Thee Stallion opened her first Popeye’s. I really like Popeye’s a lot that I actually can’t go there. All the pieces I really like an excessive amount of I principally can’t even have a look at because the injury I’d do is just too excessive.
Extra writings from two weeks in the past about how persons are utilizing Claude Code. Looks like every of those posts is a billion years outdated by now.
Evangeline Lilly (from Misplaced and Antman) acquired a traumatic mind harm from a fall and now has mind injury — that’s horrible information and a horrible story to listen to.
Did Lebron deserve extra MVPs and different rewards than he obtained? In all probability says his agent.
How do Hollywood stars meet each other? A technique is thru match makers.
I wouldn’t put a lot inventory in articles claiming that anybody will unseat OpenAI within the AI race, however some say Google is chasing and shut behind with its up to date Gemini. Personally I feel the app-based Claude Code UX will do it as I feel OpenAI made a critical tactical mistake with Codex. Plus, the extra I give it some thought, would you actually even need ChatGPT operating round your recordsdata? Solely an organization with a considerable model fairness in security and danger minimization can be the one I’d let in and of the massive firms, that’s solely Anthropic.
Are our massive hits with massive cites value $100k every? Gelman says the reply isn’t any. However I suppose my query then is what are they value? Nothing? That is positively not the case, although you’d like want the highest 5’s complete settle for and reject historical past, and do some sort of regression discontinuity of papers matched with wages and vitas to determine the impact at some cutoff. Possibly evaluating these papers with 2 R&R and 1 reject from referees with the 1 R&R and a couple of rejects or one thing?
BoA says these are the massive AI shares of 2026. I nonetheless solely put my financial savings in low charge index funds as a result of on the finish of the day, I belief the market greater than myself, however I nonetheless take pleasure in studying stuff like this.
The scientific manufacturing within the age of AI (Science)
Borjas and Breznau’s ideological bias and immigration research utilizing the “many analyst design” is now out in Science. I do know Nick Huntington-Klein didn’t invent the numerous analyst design, however he’s positively been at the forefront of it, and I personally have discovered that design actually fascinating (and that Borjas and Breznau research notably fascinating).
If you and your partner have parenting values that battle.
There’s a sacred forbidden island in Japan that’s off limits for girls and it’s now a World Heritage website.
And now I’ll finish with Ethan Mollick on Claude Code from every week in the past, and what he predicts will come subsequent.
I will likely be filming myself utilizing Claude Code for the economists on the market attempting to wrap their head round how this may be as virtually helpful for analysis, not to mention transformative, quickly. Simply have to determine how I wish to go about it. I clearly can’t movie me spending ten hours daily in my Apple Imaginative and prescient Professional utilizing it so I’m simply questioning what’s one of the best ways to go about it. However quickly.
Thanks once more for studying my substack! In case you aren’t a subscriber, think about turning into one by clicking on this hyperlink! It is a labor of affection!
